Reds vs. Marlins: Series Finale Showdown
The Miami Marlins aim to clinch a series split as they face the Cincinnati Reds in the final game of their four-game series on Thursday afternoon. Following a decisive 7-4 victory on Wednesday, Miami looks to build on that momentum. The Reds (8-4), coming off a snapped five-game winning streak, boast a strong 5-1 record on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Marlins (7-5) are looking solid at home with a 6-3 record in 2026.
Game Details
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
- Location: loanDepot Park, Miami
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, the Reds hold the advantage in this matchup, leading the all-time series 139-107. They’ve also won five of the last seven meetings between these two teams. However, recent form suggests a closer contest.
Betting Odds & Lines
According to the latest DraftKings odds, the Marlins are favored on the money line at -128 (bet $128 to win $100), while the Reds are +109 underdogs (bet $100 to win $109). The over/under is set at 8 runs.
- Money Line: Reds +109, Marlins -128
- Over/Under: 8 runs
- Run Line: Marlins -1.5 (+166)
Expert Predictions & Model Insights
SportsLine’s proven computer model has simulated this game 10,000 times, and the results are in! The model, which was a profitable 35-29 on top-rated MLB money-line picks last season and excelled in home run prop picks in 2025, is leaning towards the Over 8 combined runs.
Miami currently ranks fourth in MLB with a .262 batting average and has scored the sixth-most runs in baseball with 59 in 12 games. The model projects significant contributions from key Marlins hitters like Otto Lopez, Jakob Marsee, and Owen Caissie, anticipating over 1.4 total bases from each. The Reds, who scored 716 runs last season, are also expected to contribute, with projections of over 1.4 total bases from Elly De La Cruz, Sal Stewart, Eugenio Suarez, and Spencer Steer.
The model projects a combined total of 9.0 runs, making the Over a strong value bet.
How to Watch
Catch the action live on Fubo (free trial available). New to sports betting? Check out the latest offers from FanDuel.
Get the full Reds vs. Marlins money-line pick and detailed analysis at SportsLine! The model has identified a side with significant value, and you don’t want to miss it.
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