Hitting it Out of the Park: Top MLB Home Run Props for May 19
For any baseball enthusiast, there is nothing more exhilarating than watching a ball soar over the fence. When it comes to the gold standard of power hitting, names like Mike Trout often dominate the conversation. However, the secret to successful sports betting isn’t just following the biggest stars—it’s about finding value in the odds.
Betting on home run props is one of the most thrilling ways to stay engaged across the grueling 162-game MLB season. While predicting a long ball is challenging, the payouts can be massive when you hit the mark. Following a huge win on Monday with Cody Bellinger, we are diving back into the data to find Tuesday’s biggest winners.
The Value Plays: Where to Put Your Money Today
While the world watches the superstars, we are looking at three specific players with odds north of 4/1 who are perfectly positioned for a breakout performance on May 19.
1. Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves)
Despite a recent slump where he’s hitting just .106, Ozzie Albies is a prime candidate for a rebound. He faces Miami Marlins lefty Braxton Garrett, a pitcher who has struggled significantly in his limited 2026 appearances.
- The Edge: Albies has absolutely dominated Garrett in their career matchups, boasting a staggering .800 batting average (4-for-5) with two doubles.
- The Trend: Albies consistently performs better against southpaws, slugging .537 against lefties compared to .424 against righties.
- Current Odds: +670 (DraftKings)
2. Rafael Devers (San Francisco Giants)
If you’re looking for a player who is starting to heat up, look no further than Rafael Devers. Over the last 13 games, Devers has been on fire, posting a .993 OPS and hitting .333.
He takes on Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander Ryne Nelson, who currently holds a shaky 5.40 ERA and has surrendered nine home runs in nine appearances. With Arizona’s bullpen also struggling to contain power hitters, Devers is in a perfect position to leave the yard.
- The Edge: Four of Devers’ five homers this season have come against right-handed pitching.
- Current Odds: +449
3. Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates)
Bryan Reynolds might be flying under the radar with only four home runs this season, but the numbers suggest he is due for a big night. He’s currently hitting .292 over the past week and shows a clear preference for left-handed pitching.
Facing St. Louis Cardinals lefty Matthe Liberatore—who has given up nine homers in nine appearances—Reynolds has the statistical advantage. Historically, Reynolds has crushed Liberatore, going 4-for-12 with a home run of his own.
- The Edge: Strong .813 OPS against lefties this season.
- Current Odds: 5/1 or higher
Final Betting Tips & Strategy
To maximize your returns in Major League Baseball betting, always look for the matchup between the hitter’s strength and the pitcher’s weakness. Much like tracking Mike Trout’s performance metrics, analyzing OPS and career head-to-head stats is the key to finding an edge.
Ready to play? Check the latest lines at DraftKings Sportsbook to lock in these odds before they shift.
Disclaimer: Betting and gambling content is intended for individuals 21+. All picks are suggestions based on analysis and not a guarantee of profit. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER for help.
