Thunder vs. Raptors: A Deep Dive with Chet Holmgren in Focus
The Oklahoma City Thunder face a challenging back-to-back as they head to Toronto to take on the Raptors. Injuries to key players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams have shifted the odds, making the Thunder underdogs for the first time this season. But can they overcome the odds against a Raptors team that previously stunned them in January? This preview breaks down the matchup, focusing on the impact of Chet Holmgren and providing expert NBA picks for the game tipping off at 7:30 pm ET at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, February 24th.
Thunder’s Resilience Despite Injuries
Despite the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the last seven games, the Thunder have maintained a respectable ninth-place ranking in net rating, showcasing the depth of their roster. However, the Toronto Raptors present a unique challenge with their defensive versatility. Adding to the complexity, Chet Holmgren is also dealing with some bumps and bruises, potentially impacting his performance.
Scottie Barnes: A Key Player to Watch
With the Thunder potentially vulnerable on the boards (ranking 24th in rebounding rate), and Chet Holmgren not at 100%, all eyes are on Scottie Barnes. Barnes is returning after the reported birth of his child, a situation reminiscent of Fred VanVleet’s inspired play during the Raptors’ 2019 championship run. He’s poised to exploit the Thunder’s rebounding weakness and deliver a strong performance.
Immanuel Quickley’s Hot Streak
The Thunder also struggle defending the three-point line, allowing the third-most threes per game and ranking 25th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. This creates an opportunity for Immanuel Quickley, who is currently averaging 20.2 points per game and shooting an impressive 48.3% from deep over his last 13 games. His point total is set at 16.5, a mark he’s surpassed in 13 of his last 18 outings.
Best Bets for Thunder vs. Raptors
- Scottie Barnes Double-Double (+135): Barnes’ rebounding prowess and all-around game make this a compelling bet.
- Immanuel Quickley Over 16.5 Points: Quickley’s recent form and the Thunder’s perimeter defense suggest he’ll exceed this total.
- Raptors Moneyline: Toronto’s defensive strengths and home-court advantage give them a good chance to win.
Additional Prop Bets to Consider
- Scottie Barnes Over 17.5 Points
- Scottie Barnes Over 8.5 Rebounds
- Scottie Barnes Over 4.5 Assists
- Scottie Barnes Over 1.5 Steals
Game Details
Spread: Thunder +1.5 | Raptors -1.5
Moneyline: Thunder +105 | Raptors -125
Over/Under: Over 216.5 | Under 216.5
The Raptors have a strong record hitting the Game Total Under, covering in 32 of their last 50 games. For more NBA betting trends, check out Covers.com.
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: FDSN Oklahoma, TSN
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