Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez: A Flyweight Clash in Mexico City
UFC fans are in for a treat on Saturday, February 28th, as the Arena CDMX in Mexico City hosts a stacked fight card featuring 13 exciting bouts. Among these, a compelling Flyweight division matchup between Imanol Rodriguez and Kevin Borjas is generating significant buzz. Both fighters currently sit outside the official Flyweight rankings, making this contest a crucial stepping stone for either man to break into the top 15.
The Odds: Rodriguez Favoured to Win
According to current MMA betting odds, Imanol Rodriguez is the clear favourite. As of today, Rodriguez is listed at -450, indicating a high probability of victory. Kevin Borjas, on the other hand, is a substantial +330 underdog. This disparity reflects Rodriguez’s impressive recent performances and Borjas’s struggles within the UFC.
Beyond the moneyline, betting markets suggest the fight is unlikely to go the distance, with odds of -235 for an inside-the-distance finish versus +180 for a decision. Specifically, Rodriguez to win by any finish is priced at -150, while Borjas winning by finish is a longshot at +600.
Imanol Rodriguez: A Rising Star
Rodriguez (6-0 MMA record) is making his official UFC debut, but he’s no stranger to the spotlight. He secured a first-round KO/TKO victory over Roque Conceicao in DWCS (Dana White’s Contender Series) in October 2025, showcasing his finishing power. He also reached the semifinals of the most recent season of The Ultimate Fighter. Rodriguez is known for his aggressive striking and has finished all six of his professional MMA fights, with five wins coming by KO/TKO and one by submission. His fights rarely extend beyond the second round, demonstrating his ability to close the show quickly.
Kevin Borjas: Experience vs. Momentum
Kevin Borjas (10-4 MMA record, 2-3 UFC record) brings more UFC experience to the cage. However, his recent form is concerning. His last fight, in August 2025, resulted in a unanimous decision loss to Sumudaerji. Borjas is primarily a striker, averaging 4.19 significant strikes per minute with a 44% striking accuracy. However, he has yet to demonstrate any grappling proficiency. Despite this, he boasts a respectable 71% takedown defense rate in his UFC career.
Betting Prediction: Rodriguez by Finish
Given Rodriguez’s striking volume and finishing ability, and considering the odds, a smart betting strategy focuses on how Rodriguez might win, rather than simply backing him on the moneyline. His consistent record of finishes, particularly by KO/TKO, makes him a strong candidate to end the fight early.
Rodriguez’s striking volume significantly surpasses that of Borjas. Therefore, backing Rodriguez to win by any finish at -150 appears to be a value bet. He has the power, precision, and finishing instinct to capitalize on any opening against a fighter who has shown vulnerabilities in his recent performances.
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